Research

Political Economy of Conflict

Published

The Logic of Insurgent Electoral Violence. With Luke Condra, James Long, and Andrew Shaver. American Economic Review, November 2018.

---American Economic Association Chart of the Week: State Un-building

Civilians, Control, and Collaboration during Civil Conflict. With Luke Condra. International Studies Quarterly, August 2019.

Places to Hide: Terrain, Ethnicity, and Political Violence. With David B. Carter and Andrew Shaver. Journal of Politics, October 2019.

Insurgent Learning. With Francesco Trebbi, Eric Weese, and Andrew Shaver. Journal of Political Institutions and Political Economy, September 2020.

---National Bureau for Economic Research (NBER) Working Paper no. 23475.

Security Transitions. With Thiemo Fetzer, Pedro CL Souza, and Oliver Vanden Eynde. American Economic Review, July 2021.

---Becker Friedman Institute (BFI) Working Paper no. 2020-176

---American Economic Association Research Highlights Podcast: Military Handoffs

---Coverage: VoxEU CEPR, The Guardian

Information Operations Increase Civilian Security Cooperation. With Konstantin Sonin. The Economic Journal, Forthcoming.

---Becker Friedman Institute (BFI) Working Paper no. 2019-130.

---Coverage: VoxDev Podcast

Televising Justice during War. With Andres Uribe and Stephen Stapleton. Journal of Conflict Resolution, Forthcoming.


Working papers

Refugee Return and Conflict: Evidence from a Natural Experiment. With Christopher Blair. Resubmitted: American Political Science Review

---Becker Friedman Institute (BFI) Working Paper no. 2021-82

Rebel Capacity, Intelligence Gathering, and Combat Tactics. With Konstantin Sonin. Resubmitted: American Journal of Political Science

---Becker Friedman Institute (BFI) Working Paper no. 2018-74.

Aid Fragmentation and Corruption. With Travers Child and Yun Xiao. Revisions requested: Review of Economics and Statistics

---Becker Friedman Institute (BFI) Working Paper no. 2021-69.

Profiling Insurrection: Characterizing Collective Action Using Mobile Device Data. With David Van Dijcke.

---Becker Friedman Institute (BFI) Working Paper no. 2021-13.

---Coverage: The Daily Beast, Salon

---Methodological Supplement: Using Mobile Device Traces to Improve Near-Real Time Data Collection During the George Floyd Protests.

Losing on the Home Front? Battlefield Casualties, Media, and Public Support for Foreign Interventions. With Thiemo Fetzer, Pedro CL Souza, Oliver Vanden Eynde.

---Becker Friedman Institute (BFI) Working Paper no. 2021-52

The Logic and Impacts of Rebel Public Services Provision: Evidence from Taliban Courts in Afghanistan. With Donald Grasse and Renard Sexton.

Economic Competition and Civilian Support for Rebel Reintegration. With Amanda Kennard and Konstantin Sonin.

Internal versus External Social Control: Reporting the Taliban in Afghanistan. With Patrick Bergemann.

Civilian Abuse, Counterinsurgent Operations, and Wartime Informing. With Luke Condra, Jacob Shapiro, and Andrew Shaver.

---The Pearson Institute (TPI) Discussion Paper no. 42.

Economic Shocks and Rebel Tactics.

---Runner-up, Best Paper Prize, 2015 UCLA COMPASS Conference on Comparative Politics

---Households in Conflict Network (HiCN) Working Paper no. 232.

Crime and Corruption

Published

Border Walls and Smuggling Spillovers. With Anna Getmansky and Guy Grossman. Quarterly Journal of Political Science}, July 2019.

---The Pearson Institute (TPI) Discussion Paper no. 41

---Coverage: The Washington Post

Political and Environmental Risks Influence Migration and Human Smuggling across the Mediterranean Sea. With Kara Ross Camarena, Sarah Claudy, and Jijun Wang. PLoS One}, July 2020.

Working papers

Corruption and Political Mobilization: Evidence from a Natural Experiment. With Luke Condra. Under Review

---Becker Friedman Institute (BFI) Working Paper no. 2021-59.

Pandemic Response

Published

Poverty and Economic Dislocation Reduce Compliance with COVID-19 Shelter-in-Place Protocols. With Konstantin Sonin, Jesse Driscoll, and Jarnickae Wilson. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, November 2020.

---Becker Friedman Institute (BFI) Working Paper no. 2020-40.

---Coverage: NPR, VoxEU

Science Skepticism Reduces Compliance with COVID-19 Shelter-in-Place Policies. With Adam Brzezinski, Valentin Kecht, and David Van Dijcke. Nature Human Behavior, October 2021.

---Becker Friedman Institute (BFI) Working Paper no. 2020-56.

---Coverage: VoxEU

Unmasking Partisanship: How Polarization Influences Public Responses to Collective Risk. With Maria Milosh, Marc Painter, Konstantin Sonin, and David Van Dijcke. Journal of Public Economics, December 2021.

---Becker Friedman Institute (BFI) Working Paper no. 2020-102.

---Coverage: Pandemic Economics Podcast: Uncovering the Politics of Mask Usage}, VoxEu CEPR, The Washington Post, The Guardian

Working papers

Political Economy of Crisis Response. With Arda Gitmez and Konstantin Sonin.

---Becker Friedman Institute (BFI) Working Paper no. 2020-68.

Tracking Mask Mandates during the COVID-19 Pandemic. With Geet Chawla, Luke Chen, Anthony Farmer, IPAL Lab, and DPSS Lab.

---Becker Friedman Institute (BFI) Working Paper no. 2020-104.